Sinner vs Fritz: US Open Final Recap
hunting for forehands — locked-wrist backhands — return positions — angles
World number one Jannik Sinner defeated home favourite Taylor Fritz 6/3 6/4 7/5 in the final of the US Open on Sunday to claim his second grand slam of the season and cement his position atop the men’s rankings. The finals run also pushes Fritz back into the top-eight as the race to Turin heats up.
Opening Games
Fritz and Sinner play a similar brand of aggressive baseline tennis. Both are natural ball-strikers who welcome pace, but the Italian is a class above when it comes to movement. Such an edge reveals itself not just on defence, but also on offence. It was on full display in this match, where Sinner looked far more comfortable on defence, but also when attacking with his forehand from the ad-court.
“The serve and the movement. Massive improvements. [In 2021] I could find myself in a lot of return games just off of his first serve. I felt I could get myself in points off his first serve every time. And back then, it was much easier to hurt him from the ground as well. He’s much faster, a lot better out of the corners.”
- Fritz on Sinner’s improvements since their first match in 2021
With respect to hunting ad-court forehands (or a lack thereof for Fritz) part of this may be explained by Fritz’s world-class backhand jab, tailor-made for quick hard courts that make him adept at handling and redirecting pace. It’s the kind of pattern the American makes his living on.
Good enough for a handsome living, but not enough for slam success, given his style is primarily built on offence, rather than suffocating defensive efforts. Movement is an area of the game he and his coach, Michael Russell, have worked diligently to improve — and he has improved — but there is still daylight between he and his Dolomite-bred opponent. His lack of a quick left-step hurt him today, seen here punching this middle ball wide with his backhand, instead of finding another forehand.
I have always been bullish on Fritz in terms of his strokes. The serve is big, but not huge, for 6’5’’, the backhand is incredibly quiet mechanically, and the forehand is textbook modern, with a Musetti-Western grip making him favour higher balls on that wing, but still very adept at higher speeds and when pushed wide. It makes sense that he has enjoyed Indian Wells and the US Open with their higher bounce.
Although Sinner broke immediately to open the final, Fritz broke back in the 2-1 game with a flurry of points that were exactly the kind he needed to play if he was to have a chance: attacking the Sinner forehand — twice on backhand second-serve returns, where Sinner’s body-serve misfired — and keeping Sinner pinned low and wide in the backhand corner when in neutral trades. The American’s locked-wrist follow-through is a feature that allows him to change direction and handle pace more easily at high speeds on the backhand.
Fritz held for a 3-2 lead, saving a break point on a 24-shot rally with a blistering 101mph forehand that finally made Sinner misfire his own forehand. That final phase of play was the right tactic, but a review of the whole point on the changeover revealed (to me at least) that Fritz had won the battle, but was losing the war; you can’t beat this version of Sinner with a backhand crosscourt. You need to attack his forehand, ideally with your own.
To Fritz’s credit he did often look to be torching his forehand — and into Sinner’s own forehand no less — when he was set, but it’s hard to get set often against someone of Sinner’s aggression, and redlining your game is always a gamble; using angles may have proved more effective, as we will show later. As a result, Fritz’s lead was brief. Sinner ran away with the first set, winning 15 of the last 19 points through a combination of Fritz’s misfired aggression, and lack of end-range speed and balance.
“I definitely didn’t hit the ball as well as I expected to, and that’s big if I want to go back and forth and ball-strike with him, because he’s such an amazing ball-striker…He’s the best player in the world right now. If my plan A isn’t working, the plan B I fall back on would normally be bringing everything in, playing a bit safer, grinding it out, and you know, that works — along with my serve — against a lot of other players, but against him, when I tried to bring it down, not be as aggressive, then he’s just gonna bully me too much. So it was tough that my plan A wasn’t really working for me until the third set when I kind of got it going.”
— Fritz post-match
Fritz would finish with 28 unforced errors, versus just 14 from Sinner. When you consider the aggression of the Italian, that is a scary set of numbers. Here’s a look at how Sinner’s movement is used on a plus-one ball early in the second set; why hit backhands when you can just backpedal to the alley and lasso-whip this forehand down the line?
In the second set Fritz’s serve caught fire, landing 78% and earning plenty of unreturned balls and plus-one slop that allowed him to breeze through his first few service games in circa 1-minute each. However, at 3-4 40-0, Sinner dropped back — as he did midway through the Australian Open final against Medvedev — and gave Fritz a different look:
“That’s a smart move from Jannik Sinner. When someone’s not missing serves, if you change your return of serve position, offer them a different view, sometimes they might press and try and hit a different type of serve.”
— Jim Courier
Or they might then be capable of hitting a different return. Ask Nadal, Medvedev, Thiem, Alcaraz, Wawrinka, etcetera. Having the ability to drop back and play from the mural of Wall St. sponsors not only throws a spanner in the works of your opponent, it gives big hitters the time they need to hit big.
With Fritz serving to stay in the set at 4-5 Sinner again opted to return each point from Medvedev territory, jagging back more serves and settling into a higher, heavier, more patient cadence that ultimately sealed him the second set as Fritz tightened up and again made costly errors. A combination of heavyweight technique and Ferrari-esque court speed enables Sinner to play effectively from deep positions — offence and defence equally — and it afforded him tactical flexibility here that was crucial to disrupting the rhythm of Fritz.
On the other hand, this was also an effective tactic because Fritz is somewhat allergic, or at least net-intolerant, and doesn’t have the toolset to do what an Alcaraz, or Nadal, or Djokovic, might do when a player drops back like that: serve and volley. Fritz is tactically stiff.
Third Set
Fritz by his own admission played his best stuff in the third set. Jim Courier on the comms was highlighting how Fritz was the flatter, more linear player of the two, but that he would be well-served in opening up the court with more angles; a sentiment I completely agree with, and one that Alcaraz used to good effect in his Indian Wells victory over Sinner this year (NB: moving forward caters to this tactic also).
Again, note the two common themes in successful Fritz plays: rushing the forehand on return (often with his flat backhand); finding his forehand into the wide Sinner forehand (and from the ad court below); but now, using more angles to break the sidelines:
Karue Sell of MTHQ recently preached as much:
A feature of Sinner’s game the past 12 months has also been his ability to open the court with angles and move forward in service to this tactic. His win over Medvedev in Vienna last year was a good example.
You can see the discomfort in Fritz’s volleying. Floating this volley deep, while well-placed in this instance, gives your opponent a chance to get to that next ball. That wouldn’t be possible if he played it shorter and more angled.
Sinner’s first serve also dropped off in the third set (40%) as Fritz’s baseline level rose, the American earning a break on a Sinner double fault and eventually the chance to serve out the third set at 5-4 30-30 , the celeb-drenched NYC crowd willing him for more tennis. But Fritz got tentative on a forehand, spinning it short down the middle. It was all Sinner needed, who these days is better than anyone at hunting for forehands and making you pay no matter the stakes. As soon as Fritz was on Wall St. hitting groundstrokes, the odds were overwhelming in Sinner’s favour.
On the break point Fritz was pulled forward and missed a very make-able reaction volley to further display the gulf in intangibles between he and the top brass of Sinner/Alcaraz/Djokovic (Medvedev, to be frank, sucks at volleys). Sinner promptly held to force Fritz to serve and stay in the match.
Perhaps the fatigue of Fritz’s five-set semifinal win over Tiafoe was starting to bleed into the legs, or nerves again buckled his resolve, as he found himself playing pedestrian shots though the middle-backhand corridor, again enabling Sinner to rock forehands both ways from the ad side:
Sinner converted on his first Championship point, raising his hands in subdued fashion and looking skyward; relief more than rapture, perhaps. It is no secret he has worn the weight of the world number 1 tag, but also the tag of ‘doper’ in light of recent news.
I don’t have time right now, nor is it within the scope of this particular recap, to delve into the specifics and my own thoughts on that matter, but I do intend to write a piece in-depth on this case and the broader landscape of this issue in the off-season.
All I can say now is that Sinner is playing the best ball out of everyone on hard courts, and the results show that. I also wonder if the roof on Ashe – which by all reports significantly reduces the wind that used to swirl inside the stadium — makes conditions more indoor-like. If that is true, it’s very possible that the US Open will be Sinner’s favourite hunting ground. Out of the 20 tour finals he has made, 7 of them have been on indoor hard courts specifically.
A look at this pretty average rap sheet (I thought the US was meant to be good with sports stats; this is low-effort. Tennis needs to help inform spectators why players are winning. Forced errors, unreturned serves, spin rates, directions, etc... The data is there):
But that is a rant for another day. For now, I sign off with ‘Forza’, as I have done so often after hardcourt titles in the past 12 months. See you in the comments. HC.
Apologies if you already have done - it will be interesting to have an in-depth analysis on Jannik's technique. His groundstrokes are faster than others and he takes time away better than anyone else (except for prime Djokovic). What helped him to accomplish this? Could you elaborate on both forehand and backhand side? I recall your analysis on his running forehand a while back, but I feel like we need a comprehensive review now on the version of Jannik we see in 2024 as he has evolved so much in the past twelve months.
Great analysis as always.
Just like that, another season where slams have been swept by 2 players with no glaring groundstroke flaw comes to an end. Even in the post Big-3 era, the needed quality remains insanely high (surely a bit below, though, as 3 of the top 4 seeds going out pre-semis showed, altough there are many asterisks and it shouldn't happen every time, but still) and technical proficiency off both wings the premium to meet that requirement.
Sinner and Alcaraz seem on a good path to dominate for a while : Djokovic is on the decline, Medvedev has the necessary foundations but has lost the serve, Zverev still doesn't have a FH, and Rune, the glimmer of hope for a new Big 3, still doesn't understand the process. Do you see anyone, apart from a potential-fullfilling Rune, with enough quality to maybe challenge them consistently?